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Lockdown and the Opportunities We Almost Missed

23 April 2020 by Jonny Cabrera

"Stop the world — I want to get off!" That line, made famous by Quino through his beloved character Mafalda, has never felt more literal. The world did stop, abruptly, and the Covid-19 pandemic caught most of us completely unprepared for collective isolation on this scale.

Most countries are fighting the virus in their own way, with varying results. The common denominator, though, is this: stay home.

Commercial activity has collapsed. Supply-chain paralysis is hitting the availability of goods and services across the board. Global recession forecasts — the IMF coined the term "Great Lockdown" — offer little comfort. The worldwide tourism season is essentially written off. Falling commodity prices are hammering producer economies. And risk aversion is pulling investment out of almost everything.

High unemployment, food insecurity, and overwhelmed health systems. The post-pandemic period will be brutal, and returning to any kind of normal will take time.

Every plan made for 2020 has been disrupted, and it all needs to be rethought. It's tempting to dwell on what this year was supposed to be. But given where we are — now that the world has actually stopped — who still wants off?

Adapt or Stagnate

We are all living different realities, but every one of us — as individuals and as companies — is being forced to adapt in order to survive. Doing the same thing the same way, even when the context has fundamentally changed, is one of the fastest routes to failure.

Some studies suggest social distancing will remain a factor through the end of 2021. New times bring new challenges, and staying relevant means meeting them head-on. A person can survive three weeks without food, or three days without water — but how long can a business survive without revenue?

Quarantine and business opportunities The pandemic demands a rethink of every business model.

The answer depends heavily on how stretched a company's cash flow was when lockdown began. Many businesses will cut every non-essential cost they can find. Others will negotiate salary reductions to extend their runway. The hard truth is that without activity to sustain operations, many will eventually close — regardless of when restrictions lift.

The Case for Reinvention

Human creativity tends to peak under pressure. With that in mind, this is a call to reinvent: to honestly assess your company's strengths, identify any genuine competitive advantages, and explore how a digital model might keep you moving — reaching a minimum viable level of activity that, paired with sound financial management, can carry you through.

Start with a clear-eyed view of what you actually offer. Map your products and services, understand the sector you operate in, and build from that honest baseline.

From there, ask how you can create a digital sales channel that removes the need for in-person interaction — and how you can use it to reach customers in genuinely new ways.

Lockdown is full of opportunities. Not being able to leave the house is not an excuse, and neither is a slow internet connection. Right now, many of us are living through remarkably similar experiences — which creates a kind of shared understanding that's worth something.

Why not pick up the phone and call that client who's always been hard to reach because of their packed calendar? That call might be exactly the break in the monotony they needed. It will be remembered.

The Digital Window

That's just one small example. The digital world opens far more: from marketing to strengthening your professional network. With time available that you might not have had before, there's a real opportunity to build new digital sales channels — channels that maintain and grow your company's presence in a market that isn't going away.

Much of this comes down to drive: the desire to close a deal, to prove that you can come out on top despite everything working against you. It's easy to blame a world that stopped moving. But that's just another excuse.

Apathy and idleness are poor advisors. If you didn't change your approach when the moment demanded it — if you chose continuity over adaptation — you'll find, if you're honest with yourself, that you probably didn't want to change in the first place.

Reinvention in times of lockdown Reinvention is the key to surviving a crisis.

What Comes Next

The world stopped, but it will move again. Nothing will be the same. We're already seeing the signals: accelerated automation in production and distribution, rapid growth of remote-work platforms, the rise of delivery-based business models, renewed interest in commercial drones and robotics, and greater public and private investment in health R&D to strengthen our defenses against the next pandemic.

Because there will be a next one. It's only a matter of time.

Ideas — the eureka moment, the flash of inspiration, whatever you want to call it — can arrive at any time. So can opportunities. You never know exactly when they'll show up.

But if you maintain a consistent commitment to learning and self-challenge, you improve the odds that you'll be ready when that moment comes. You clear the fog. And underneath it, the opportunities are already there — waiting for someone audacious and prepared enough to act on them.


Jonny Cabrera Director of Operations jcabrera@innotica.net @jonjocaza linkedin.com/in/jonjoca

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Jonny Cabrera

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